Episode's summary
An analysis of the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for the September quarter, which show the annual headline inflation rate increasing from 4% to 4.3%. Featuring KPMG Chief Economist Brendan Wynn, the discussion explores the rise in trimmed mean inflation and the distinction between tradable and non-tradable inflationary pressures. The episode examines whether domestic factors, such as construction labour costs and housing, are driving the upward trajectory of inflation. The conversation also addresses the implications for monetary policy, noting that market expectations for a cash rate increase have risen to 88%. The discussion covers the potential for back-to-back interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia and the historical context of reaching the highest cash rates seen in nearly two decades.
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Highlights
And that's still at over the quarter, 3.7%, up from 3.6%.
00:01:49 · The economist provides specific data regarding the movement of core inflation.
And so that is the driver of our inflation is much more a homegrown problem than it is a foreign problem.
00:04:09 · Brendan Wynn argues that domestic non-tradable inflation is a primary driver of current economic pressure.
Now, this afternoon, money markets are pricing in an 88% chance that the cash rate will be lifted on Tuesday.
00:05:30 · The host highlights the significant shift in market sentiment following the inflation release.
The Reserve Bank really has only got, you know, one bullet to shoot and that's keeping interest rates, pushing interest rates higher.
00:05:54 · The economist discusses the limited policy options remaining for the RBA to combat rising inflation.
You've got to remember that 4.8% will be the highest cash rate that we've seen in this country since the back end of 2008.
00:07:01 · The discussion places the potential future interest rate in a historical economic context.
An analysis of the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for the September quarter, which show the annual headline inflation rate increasing from 4% to 4.3%. Featuring KPMG Chief Economist Brendan Wynn, the discussion explores the rise in trimmed mean inflation and the distinction between tradable and non-tradable inflationary pressures. The episode examines whether domestic factors, such as construction labour costs and housing, are driving the upward trajectory of inflation. The conversation also addresses the implications for monetary policy, noting that market expectations for a cash rate increase have risen to 88%. The discussion covers the potential for back-to-back interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia and the historical context of reaching the highest cash rates seen in nearly two decades.
Episodes
Will inflation rate lead to an interest rate rise?
ListenedAn analysis of the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for the September quarter, which show the annual headline inflation rate increasing from 4% to 4.3%. Featuring KPMG Chief Economist Brendan Wynn, the discussion explores the rise in trimmed mean inflation and the distinction between tradable and non-tradable inflationary pressures. The episode examines whether domestic factors, such as construction labour costs and housing, are driving the upward trajectory of inflation. The conversation also addresses the implications for monetary policy, noting that market expectations for a cash rate increase have risen to 88%. The discussion covers the potential for back-to-back interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia and the historical context of reaching the highest cash rates seen in nearly two decades.
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